I’m traveling in California so it’s on National Public
Radio’s financial program Marketplace that I first catch wind of the swing
towards Scottish independence. Marketplace covers it as a currency story: the British pound takes a dive in the wake
of new polling news.
There are pragmatic concerns here that I suppose might
interest me. But my first response is an emotional one. I’m not ready for
Scottish independence. A Santa Barbara friend, with no ancestral connections to
the British Isles, tells me she’s all for it. She’s rooting for the Scots and
is delighted to see them standing up to the Brits, the bankers and big business. What’s my
problem? I’ve got Irish roots, haven’t I? Why aren’t I cheering on my fellow
Celts?
Well maybe that’s one reason why. I was born in England with
an English father but never quite think of myself as English. My mother was
Irish and my upbringing – our upbringing,
I have to say since there were nine of us – had a distinctly Irish flavour. I
spent twenty years of my adult life in Wales. My brother Wilfrid worked as a GP
in Edinburgh for twenty years, where I visited him regularly, and in Shetland
for a couple more. I have an instinctive preference for joining these pieces
together than for splitting them apart. The same impulse will contribute to my
vote against leaving the EU when it comes to that.
And I’m acutely aware, by the way, that Scotland's departure would increase the proportion of anti-Europeans among the rest of us.
When my American wife Leni and I were in Inverness recently we
asked people what they thought about independence and got some interesting
answers:
It’ll force us to grow up and stop blaming
everything on the English.... For me, it's like wanting to be your own boss
instead of working for someone else.... Who hates the Scottish? No one. Who hates
the English? Everyone.
They were
the pros. The antis just came straight out with it:
It’d be madness.... Complete lunacy.
Incidentally, our tiny sample revealed an even bigger gender gap than the opinion polls do. All our yeses were men, all our nos were women. Listening to our no-voters I had the distinct impression that some heads would be knocked together if it was up to them.
The nice
lady at the Culloden visitor centre was way too canny to express an opinion. Given
that this is a place of bitter memories – the site of the final defeat of the Jacobites, leading to the brutal
destruction of the highland way of life by the ‘Butcher’ Duke of Cumberland
– and a place of pilgrimage for Americans seeking their Scottish roots, I admired
her tact and was inclined to put her down as a no, though I would have had to count
her as undecided if I’d been conducting
a poll.
Considering
the length of the campaign, the number of undecideds has apparently remained
stubbornly high. For some, like the lady at Culloden, don’t know might translate as not
telling. For others perhaps it reflects that heart-versus-head thing
commentators have been talking about – indulging a wild yes impulse for as long as possible, maybe, before settling down to
the practicalities of no.
There I go
with the kind of patronising assumption guaranteed to irritate a nationalist.
What would be wild or impulsive about voting for independence? More important, it concedes too much in handing
over all sense of imaginative possibility to the yes-voters, just as the Better
Together campaign has done in emphasising fear – fear of change, fear of
uncertainty – over hope.
The yes
campaign has not made the mistake of dwelling on the past – ancient grudges
have not featured. But it’s hard to ignore the more recent grudge that must
fuel the urge to go it alone – the feeling that since the 80s the British
political establishment has engaged in a process of neo-liberal economic
restructuring that Scotland never signed up to. Half the population of Britain
south of the border could raise their hands and say we never signed up to it
either. Understandably, Scottish nationalists don’t see this as Scotland’s
problem. And I can certainly see the appeal to disaffected Scots of wiping the
smug smile off Cameron’s face and giving him a bloody nose on their way out the
door.
Paradoxically
the very features that have enabled the Scots to protect themselves from some of
the ravages of this right-wing project, including the creeping privatisation of
the NHS – Scotland’s historic identity as a country, its tradition of separate
institutions, and its 15-year-old parliament – have provided the platform,
unique in mainland Britain, for its departure. Other disgruntled regions and disregarded minorities don't have the same option.
So my heart
and my head are united on this issue. My heart says I don’t want Scotland to
leave the family. My head says my political interests, and the interests of
those I care about, will suffer if it does.
I strongly
suspect that Wilfrid, who loved Scotland’s more rugged landscape, taught
himself the bagpipes and took to wearing the kilt at family celebrations, would
have voted yes. If something in Scotland claimed his soul, his political
calculations also saw the benefits of living and working north of the border –
years ago he told me, with a baleful shake of the head, that the NHS in England
and Wales was finished.
But I would
have argued with him about how to vote. On the one hand, independence
is no guarantee of a socialist future – a Scotland having to clamour on its own
behalf for international investment might find itself settling for something
less idealistic. It's possible that independence would result in a shift to the right on both sides of the border. On the other hand, walking out on the UK’s problems is, in its
own way, a failure of imagination. Austerity will not serve as a permanent
excuse to screw the poor and reduce taxes on the rich. We won’t be ruled by
Cameron and Osborne forever. And we have more chance together than alone of
ending their temporary ascendancy.
Running deeper than the ebb and flow of
politics, there are surely bonds of culture and history and shared interests that
unite us across our geographic borders.